India’s Ever-Shifting Foreign Policy: Navigating Dichotomy, Diplomacy, and Geopolitical Chess
India’s ever-shifting foreign policy from its birth as an independent nation in 1947 to its current standing on the global chessboard reflects a story of complex balancing acts between principles and pragmatism, idealism and realism, and friendship and rivalry. It is a saga of deft dual diplomacy that has seen India manoeuvre through regional upheavals, global power rivalries, and the evolving landscape of 21st-century geopolitics with remarkable dexterity.

India’s evolving foreign policy, driven by grievance and military calculus, appears ill-suited to the realities of South Asia. Its pursuit of regional dominance remains largely shaped by unresolved tensions with Pakistan, a nation it cannot simply wish away. Yet rather than seek a political settlement to this enduring rivalry, India seems trapped in a zero-sum paradigm, forging defence-heavy alliances while sidelining the urgent imperative of peace. The spectacle of power projection may serve immediate electoral optics, but it cannot substitute the hard, patient work of regional reconciliation.
India is not Israel; more importantly, it cannot afford to be. If it continues down this path, it risks becoming a security state locked in perpetual hostility, eroding the very moral and civilizational ideals it once aspired to uphold. India needs to build bridges and not blocs.
Indian Side of the Story
- India gained independence on August 15, 1947, entering the world stage as a new nation with many challenges but clear principles.
- Early Indian diplomacy prioritised non-alignment during the Cold War, avoiding siding with either the US-led capitalist bloc or the Soviet-led communist bloc.
- The Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) was born out of India’s aim for neutrality and unity among Asian and African countries to keep their regions out of superpower conflicts.
- During the 1950s, India sought to be a moral voice and peacemaker globally, but soon realised that principles alone did not guarantee security or protection.
- The 1960s were challenging—India faced wars with China (1962) and Pakistan (1965), exposed the limitations of non-alignment, and experienced foreign aid dependence for economic needs.
- The 1970s marked a turn toward realism with the Green Revolution achieving food self-sufficiency, a strategic treaty of friendship with the Soviet Union, and active diplomacy that included military and space cooperation.
- The 1980s saw India asserting regional leadership, notably founding the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), but also facing difficulties such as the Sri Lankan civil war intervention, which became a diplomatic setback.
- The end of the Cold War and economic liberalisation in the 1990s pushed India toward diversifying international partnerships, including the Look East Policy and opening diplomatic relations with Israel.
- The late 1990s saw tensions due to nuclear tests and sanctions, but by the 2000s, India focused on warming ties with the US, joining multilateral forums, and strengthening counterterrorism cooperation.
- India also engaged in new alliances like BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa), fostering a multipolar world approach.
- By the 2010s and into the 2020s, India expanded strategic partnerships with over a dozen countries, sharpened its rivalry with China, and assumed global roles in multiple forums including the Quad and G7 invitations.
- India’s current diplomatic approach is described as “multi-alignment,” balancing relations with competing powers while leading the Global South and maintaining independent foreign policy decisions.
- A key shift is India’s reduction of foreign dependence—moving from a consumer of aid to a global donor, evident in its pandemic vaccine distribution and first-response role in regional crises.
- The overarching vision is to be a “Vishwa Bandhu” (friend to all), remaining in every major global dialogue but maintaining its own independent corner, redefining itself as a pivotal balancing power rather than a mere player.
The Early Years: Non-Alignment and Idealistic Beginnings
In the spotlight of the post-colonial world, India’s founding leaders, particularly Jawaharlal Nehru, championed the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM). Picture Nehru as the diplomatic pacifist at the Cold War party, refusing to pick sides, proclaiming slogans like “Hindi-Chini Bhai Bhai” (Indians and Chinese are brothers), and appealing to newly independent countries to stay clear of Cold War rivalries.
However, this idealism hit rough waters quickly. By the 1960s, the 1962 Sino-Indian War shattered the rosy visions of eternal brotherhood with China, and conflicts with Pakistan added to a growing security dilemma. The haze of non-alignment gave way to the realisation that ideology alone could not shield a young nation from harsh geopolitical realities.
The 1970s: Dual Policies in Full Swing
The 1970s were the decade of India sharpening its diplomatic knife. On the one hand, India continued to project itself as the torchbearer of the NAM, advocating decolonisation and non-intervention. Yet, behind the curtain, it leaned heavily on ties with the Soviet Union. This alliance proved decisive during the 1971 Indo-Pakistani war, which led to the creation of Bangladesh, a geopolitical earthquake in South Asia.
India’s backing of the Mukti Bahini (freedom fighters in East Pakistan) and direct military intervention, supported by Soviet political cover, hastened Pakistan’s eastern wing’s dismemberment, a move both lauded and criticised globally.
Simultaneously, India’s venture into Sri Lanka through the Indian Peace Keeping Force (IPKF) during the late 1980s reflected regional ambitions mixed with complicated consequences, highlighting India’s readiness to exert influence but also the limits of its reach.
Post-Cold War and the Multipolar Balancing Act
With the Cold War’s end and economic liberalisation in the 1990s, India’s foreign policy grew more multi-layered and pragmatic. It dialled up its engagement with the United States, forging defence, counterterrorism, and economic partnerships, while preserving longstanding ties with Russia and participating actively in global South coalitions like BRICS.
India’s diplomacy became characterised by “multi-alignment” juggling relationships with sometimes adversarial powers without fully committing to formal alliances. This approach maximises India’s strategic autonomy amid growing global complexity.
Regional Dynamics: Skirmishes, Friendships, and Tensions
India’s neighbourhood policies reflect the dual character of its strategies:
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Pakistan remains a perennial challenge, with conflict centred on Kashmir, supported cross-border insurgencies, and intelligence confrontations like the Kulbhushan Jadhav affair underscoring hostility and mistrust.
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With China, unresolved border disputes and the 2020 clashes punctuate a relationship oscillating between competition and cooperation. Despite tensions, India seeks to keep communication channels open and recently signalled diplomatic warming with high-level visits.
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Nepal, Sri Lanka, and others juggle their own external partnerships, sometimes leaning toward China, making India’s influence a delicate dance of assertiveness and accommodation.
India’s strategic diplomacy blends development initiatives, security cooperation, and cultural ties to maintain influence amid these complexities.
The Contemporary Scene: US Ties, BRICS, and China
India’s foreign policy today is shaped by a nuanced tightrope walk:
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It cosies up with the US for defence and economic collaboration, raising its profile as a bulwark against China’s regional assertiveness.
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Simultaneously, it solidifies BRICS partnerships with Russia, China, and other emerging powers, asserting an independent voice for the Global South and maintaining flexibility.
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The recent Modi visit to China, after a seven-year diplomatic chill, is a testament to India’s pragmatic approach, seeking to strategically offset the economic pressures from US tariffs and nurture peaceful coexistence despite rivalry.
China’s potential support, including economic cooperation and diplomatic backing in multilateral forums like the SCO, offers India critical alternatives as it navigates global trade tensions.
The Duality and Its Discontents
India’s foreign policy embodies a well-rehearsed dance of contradictions:
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Advocating peace and democracy internationally while grappling with internal social unrest and communal tensions.
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Maintaining historic ties with adversaries of former partners, such as simultaneous relations with Iran and Israel.
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Projecting itself as a responsible global power while engaging in grey-zone diplomatic and intelligence activities that fuel regional distrust.
This duality sometimes invites criticism as opportunistic or hypocritical, yet it also showcases the complexity and resilience of a democracy managing a vast, diverse society amid turbulent geopolitics.
Modi’s 2025 Proposed China Visit: Strategic Timing in a Complex Trade Environment
More than seven years after his last visit, Narendra Modi’s trip to China coincides with an unprecedented challenge in India-US relations. The Trump administration’s imposition of tariffs reaching up to 50% on Indian goods, primarily as a response to India’s sustained purchase of Russian oil despite US pressure, has sharply escalated economic conflicts between the two countries. India’s official stance is one of principled defiance, with Modi affirming readiness to “pay a heavy price” rather than compromise on national interests, particularly those of India’s farmers and industries.timesofindia.indiatimes+2
In this climate, India’s outreach towards China and other SCO member states represents both a pragmatic pivot and a diplomatic signal. The visit anticipates boosting trade ties and economic cooperation to offset losses from US tariffs and sanctions, while also easing tensions with Beijing after the 2020 border clashes that brought India-China relations to a low ebb. The SCO summit consolidates India’s multi-alignment foreign policy, engaging multiple global powers (Russia, China, and others) simultaneously to maximise its strategic autonomy.reuters+2
China’s potential support at this critical juncture includes easing bilateral trade barriers, providing diplomatic backing in multilateral forums such as the SCO, and stabilising border relations to enable India to concentrate on economic growth rather than security crises. Modi’s visit thus emerges as a calculated effort to recalibrate India’s international standing amidst a challenging trilateral dynamic involving the US and China.firstpost+1
India-China Trade Relations and the Scope for Economic Breakthroughs
Despite optimism, analysts caution that a sweeping trade breakthrough between India and China is improbable in the immediate term. Structural challenges such as India’s substantial trade deficit with China, limited Indian goods’ market access to China, and entrenched geopolitical distrust persist. Border disputes, notably the aftermath of the 2020 Galwan clashes, continue to weigh heavily, influencing India’s stance of “border before broader” engagement, contrasting with China’s preference for simultaneous political and economic rapprochement.bbc+1
Modi’s visit could lead to incremental progress, such as resumption of high-level economic dialogues, selective easing of tariffs, and improved investment facilitation, but deep trade reforms or major liberalisations remain distant goals. Nonetheless, the thaw in diplomatic relations has already revitalised channels for trade and investment, and China remains a major economic partner, making enhanced engagement mutually desirable within measured confines.firstpost+1
Broader Regional Implications: India-Pakistan Water Disputes and China’s Hydropower Leverage
Beyond trade, Modi’s China visit intersects with broader geopolitical issues, especially the India-Pakistan water dispute, intensified by India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) in 2025. India’s unilateral reductions in water flow to Pakistan’s Indus basin—citing security concerns linked to cross-border terrorism- have escalated tensions and invited international concern. Pakistan views these measures as economic blockade tactics that threaten its agricultural economy and water security.nytimes
China’s role in this complex hydropolitical equation is significant due to its construction of the world’s largest hydropower dam on the Brahmaputra River (Yarlung Tsangpo) in Tibet. This upstream control gives China unprecedented influence over a river that traverses India’s northeastern states and Bangladesh, adding a critical dimension to transboundary water management and regional diplomatic leverage.nytimes
China can wield this hydrological advantage to indirectly pressure India in its water relations with Pakistan, conditioning its encouragement of India to ease water restrictions on Pakistan as part of a broader strategic package. Such diplomatic leverage could be coupled with China’s expectations related to India’s stance on the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and broader regional security cooperation. However, India’s strong assertion of water sovereignty and existing distrust of China carefully delimit Beijing’s influence.nytimes
Water Diplomacy: A Geostrategic Chessboard in South Asia
India’s increasingly aggressive water policy, reflected in the suspension of the IWT and active diversion of rivers vital to Pakistan, is both a form of geopolitical leverage and a potential flashpoint for regional escalation. Experts warn that water disputes are becoming a new arena for India-Pakistan rivalry, heightening risks of military confrontation and further destabilising South Asia.nytimes
China’s upstream dam project on the Brahmaputra compounds this fraught scenario, placing Beijing in a position to influence water security politics between India and Pakistan while promoting its own regional interests. The hydropower project is more than an energy venture; it is an instrument interwoven with the geopolitics of water, economic connectivity, and security alliances.nytimes
Conclusion: A Multiplex Nexus of Trade, Diplomacy, and Water Security
Prime Minister Modi’s 2025 visit to China amidst US tariff conflicts exemplifies India’s pragmatic navigation of a complex, multipolar world. The visit signals India’s resolve to diversify partnerships to shield itself from punitive economic measures, stabilise volatile regional relations, and assert strategic autonomy.
Yet, the challenges are multifaceted. Economic cooperation with China advances gradually amid political mistrust; the India-Pakistan water dispute, intensified by India’s measures and China’s upstream dam, adds layers of strategic complexity; and the interplay of these dynamics shapes South Asia’s fragile security environment.
The Brahmaputra dam project underscores how natural resources—especially transboundary rivers—are entwined with geopolitics, acting as levers of influence and sources of potential conflict. India’s engagement with China on economic, security, and water issues will be pivotal in determining the region’s future stability and cooperation frameworks.
References
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Times of India, “PM may visit China for the 1st time in 7 years amid trade standoff with US,” August 2025
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Anadolu Agency, “‘Ready to pay heavy price:’ Indian Premier Modi on Trump tariffs,” August 2025
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Reuters, “India’s Modi to visit China for first time in 7 years as tensions with US rise,” August 2025
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Free Press Journal, “PM Modi Set to Visit China After 7 Years as Trump Targets India,” August 2025
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Firstpost, “PM Modi to visit China: Why the trip matters amid Trump’s steep tariffs on India,” August 2025
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India Today, “Will Trump’s tariff bomb see India, Russia, China gang-up on US?” August 2025
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Al Jazeera, “US-India relations at their ‘worst’ as Trump slaps 50 percent tariff,” August 2025
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Reuters, “India-US tariff standoff: What are New Delhi’s options and risks?” August 2025
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BBC News, “Trump-Modi ties hit rock bottom with new tariffs on India over Russia oil,” August 2025
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South Asia Water Diplomacy Publications & Reports (multiple sources synthesising developments in Indus Waters Treaty suspension and China’s Brahmaputra dam), 2024–2025
Conclusion: A Story of Adaptation and Strategy
India’s ever-shifting foreign policy is a masterclass in balancing competing interests and ideals. It is neither purely principled nor wholly pragmatic but a blend tailored to the evolving demands of survival, influence, and growth on the global stage.
From non-alignment to multi-alignment, from regional dominance to global partnerships, India writes its foreign policy script one act at a time—always recalibrating, always adapting, and always playing the long game.
https://mrpo.pk/buddhas-peace-modis-politics/
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